hi ocho
this may help in your decision based on the strike rate of your current 4 systems i have adjusted the strike rates to the nearest 0 or 5 for dexterity
system (a=54%) adjust to 55%
runs of outs 0-10=(2.5)11-100=(5.3)101-1,000=(8.1)1001-10,000=(11.1)
system(b=59%)adjust to 60%
runs of outs 0-10=(2.2)11-100=(4.6)101-1,000=(7.1)10001-10,000=(9.7)
system(c=80%)leave as is
runs of outs 0-10=(1.2)11-100=(2.6)101-1,000=(4.0)1001-10,000=(5.6)
system(d=18.5%)adjust to 20%
runs of outs 0-10=(5.8)11-100=(15.5)101-1,000=(25.8)1001-10,000=(36.9)
forget pot look at it as (roi) return on investment if you were working on an hourly rate what would you want system (a= 30.59 )system (b=23.29)
system(c=21.88)system(d=25.9) of course (system A) always wins the problems then start psychological make up to handle the run of outs the bank required to handle that run of outs always a catch isn't their the above figures are extremely accurate but obviously will be a few out either side the thing is say with (system A) let's say your'e between100-1,000 bets you can look up the figures and expect a run of outs of say 8 losers then back a winner then another 8 losers then a winner then another 8 losers etc just because youv'e gone through your run of outs with a winner doesn't mean it wont start all over again the vagarities of the punt unfortunately these s/rates aren't my systems s/rates but obtained from a data base have all s/rates from 5%-95% which contains 100s of 1,000s of bets so will be fairly accurate good luck in what you choose
cheers
garyf