15th March 2011, 07:02 PM
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Hi beton unfortunately i don't bet the exotics as i freely admit i don't have the psycological make up to withstand the runs of outs.
A punting mate of mine who bets only the exotics told me that getting the fav beat wasn't the problem getting the fav out of a place was the hard part.
Dales probably right with the field size rule i suspect as well
Another approach may be taking trifectas when the fav is at a large s/price.
Here's some statistical data to back it up.
Fav up to $3.0 38.2% = win 69% = place.( loss= 9.6%) win only
Fav over $3.0 22% =win 52% =place ( loss =17%)
Fav over $4.0 18% =win 45% =place (loss = 18%)
Fav over $5.0 16% =win 41% =place (loss =18%)
betting all fav's all odds
55,162 races
17,172 wins
31% s/rate.
Av tab= $2.8.
Av s/p=$2.8 (That came as a shock)
loss = 12.3%
34,042 places
62% s/rate place
Av tab=$1.49
Loss=8%
If you do the( price breakdown of the fav's) to the all breakdown their may be an advantage for trifecta betting but without monitoring on course
prices i am not sure about the prepost especially with scratchings.
Food for thought i guess.
Cheers
Garyf.
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