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24th March 2011, 01:20 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,418
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Hey Dale, strangely I'm with you; one side of the equation when we are taking about straight out handicapping.
What we are talking about here is a systematic approach, and of course we have to accept that no matter what we will have anomalies, what we are trying to achieve ( and it definitely is not easy) is to still make a profit despite that.
So again talking PURE statistics, 80% of winners ran within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start, TRUE, but of course that means that 20% of winners did NOT run within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start etc etc.
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