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Old 26th February 2004, 04:09 PM
purpleheart68 purpleheart68 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 235
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I know it's 5 weeks away,but I'd like to get some early thoughts if anyone is interested.I realise that Alinghi is something special,but I'm not prepared to award her the race,as most seem to be doing.She is at ridiculous odds,Michael Eskander just offered me 2.70,and if she wins the Riesling Slipper Trial beforehand she will probably start the shortest price Slipper fav. in history!Odds on would not surprise me.What if she can't handle the Sydney way of going?Maybe she won't be the same horse when she has to lead on the other leg?Maybe the track will be heavy and she won't handle it?I just don't think she can come from that far back at Rosehill and win.She was a long way back in the Diamond,but once Ollie got her into the clear she had a hassle free crack at them.I think the traffick in the Slipper will beat her if she is that far off them on the turn.I think it will come down to the barrier draw.If Wager can draw a decent alley(which she didn't in the Diamond)and get a soft lead and run the same sectionals that she did last start she will be very hard to beat.I took 12/1 and backed her eachway in the Diamond & the Slipper.She is now at 8/1.I also backed Dance Hero at 8/1 eachway.If it runs up to it's MM time it's gotta be a chance.
Any thoughts???
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