27th February 2004, 10:44 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Wyong , NSW
Posts: 1,139
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Quote:
On 2004-02-26 21:04, sportznut wrote:
Testa,
I take it those results are based on getting at least $8 or no bet???
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Thats correct Sportz.
Quote:
On 2004-02-27 09:16, crash wrote:
Still, this is a fascinating system of Test's, not that it has worked [so far], but why it has worked at all ? Hard to see any handicapping rhyme or reason to it [?].
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I believe there is a reason it has worked (so far) and that is that obviously if a selection started at 9-1 or better in its first lifetime start, it MIGHT have some ability.
That brings us to the 1st or 2nd up rule, which i believe gives the trainer a chance of producing the horse in much better shape then its 1st start, how often have we seen an average/good 2yo come out 1st up as a 3yo and become a very good 3yo+ horse.
The under 10 starts rule is pretty obvious, we don't want to be backing maidens who haven't won after that many chances, and the 8-1 or above starting price is obvious as well, don't want to be backing maidens that get to short.
Cheers.
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