Quote:
Originally Posted by axledog
Heres what my short system threw up for tomorrow -
WA Race 6
4-6-7-9
SR Race 5
1-3-6-8
SR Race 6
1-2-4-7-12
SR Race 7
2-4-7-13
What should i do in this instance?
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Hi Axledog,
Some interesting selections there. Not knowing the accuracy or system of selection, I would advise following the market and dropping no. 9 out of WA race 6, no. 12 out of SR race 6 and no's 7 & 13 out of SR race 7 (currently $41, $126, $51 and $121 fixed) from your selections.
This would leave you with:
WA Race 6
4-6-7 Prices: $8/$2.25-$15/4.30-$15/4.30
Dutching Profit: WIN/PLACE 287% / 9.9%
SR Race 5
1-3-6-8 Prices: $14/3.40-$19/4.30-$3.40/1.44-$2.80/1.33
Dutching Profit: WIN/PLACE 28% / -50.83%
SR Race 6
1-2-4-7 Prices: $21/6-$16/4.8-$13/4-$9/3
Dutching Profit: WIN/PLACE 235% / 4.35%
SR Race 7
2-4
$4.6/1.8-8.5/2.7
Dutching Profit: WIN/PLACE 202% / 8%
The Dutching figures for the place, are if only one horse fills the place. I have used Unitab fixed prices for this example, however if you shop around you should get much better odds.
Dutching will smooth out the betting cycle as you have more on the more fancied runners. I'd concentrate first on making sure your selections are profitable and then seeking the best odds wherever possible.
A link to an easy to use dutching calculator:
Dutching Calculator
Hope this is of some assistance Axledog and good luck! Shaping as a great days racing!
The Schmile