Jeez, given the amount of views, I must say I'm a little surprised that no one has commented on this strategy. It is a logical strategy and I believe it utilises some of the better theories gleaned from the 'thoughts' of posters on here.

This strategy hones in on the fitness / improving angle. 4th or 5th up is one of the better filters that may indicate a horse is nearing peak fitness ..... and if it hasn't won this time in after four runs ..... and the trainer is still running it ..... then one could assume that it's fit and ready to perform at its best ?!

The races that are raffles seem to be the shorties, and this strategy doesn't really target this type of race. So that's good isn't it ?

What we're really doing here is playing the odds in a way. Say the horse has a SR of 15% Win and 25% Place ..... it's due to run at it's peak every 6 races or so.

The odds should be decent because the 'form' isn't there. You really need to be looking for this angle and to develop some expertise in this particular area ..... you're really trusting the trainer here !