Thread: `Maiden Favs
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Old 29th February 2004, 06:35 PM
michaelv michaelv is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
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Hi Purpleheart68....I'm not really sure why most people on this forum don't seem to like going for the low, consistent returns (from favs)....guess it must be the avid diehard 'looking for excitement" punter in them but, I for one, do look for consistency as one of the main factors in my betting and I have to say the above returns DO look good for the sample shown (albeit a small one).

So, just clarifying...are you taking the FAV at the jump or are you using prepost markets to pick which horse is the fav?

Also, I bet mostly for the place and even with the skinny odds shown, which I'm sure I could increase by utilising the fixed odds on offer from various bookies for those races, the potential is intriguing. Even on those figures shown it came in at something like 27% POT but 94% of them placed in this sample! I'm sure this doesn't happen all the time.

I guess my big question is: You seem to have been following this for quite sometime and so should have quite a large sample by now - so could you provide the WIN and PLACE strike rates for that larger sample (with an average TAB dividend as well)? At an 80% Place strike rate you'd need to achieve an average dividend of $1.38 to make 10% POT and this might be a bit difficult. All up parlays could help I guess so, considering that, do you have the 'runs' available too? ie: the winning sequences?
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