Moee,
If you need to have a bet you should be doing Sandown form and take advantage of the early fix market stuff ups.

Been a few shorteners already.
Take a look at the Last race for example.
check the 3,4,and 5 and you should know how the #7 runs , then look at the #8.
#1 hasn't had many 500 mtr starts from that box, but the few it has, its' missed the jump.