2nd June 2011, 07:27 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by moeee
Woof43
I haven't checked, but I have a fairly strong feeling that if I backed ALL My Top Selections at Level Stakes on the TAB , I would be making a Profit.
But they all seem to start a lot below My Assessed Price.
I guess thats all my problem now for not keeping records.
Regardless, if it is True, does that mean there must be something wrong with the way I assess My Markets?
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Depends if your market is set to 100% or natural odds, you should be changing the tote price to 100% then compare the markets.
Because you do all the dogs 1-8 you could have seen quite easily the bias in your ratings.
A basic method is to convert your odds to a percentage then total the percentages, then compare how many winners you selected.
example if you rate 10 races your top selection was $2.00 in all ten races = .5 times by ten races you'd expect 5 winners. |