Rated 17 races.

Results are for a flat 1 unit bet or level stakes, and the 3 seperate figures are the returns based on A) Betfair's WAP or weighted average price just before the jump B) Betfair's SP and C) (not so) SuperTAB.

Top rated (i.e. shortest priced) picks, 3 winners from 17 tries.

Sandown 0/3, outlay 3, return nil
M'ville 2/6, outlay 6, return A 7.71 B 7.32 C 6.8
E. Farm 0/3 outlay 3, return nil
Rosehill 1/5, outlay 5, return A 7.78 B 7.4 C 6.8

Overall on top pick A -1.51, B -2.28, C -3.4 or a loss of 8.88% to 20%.

Top rated 2 (i.e. 2 shortest priced) picks, 7 winners from 34 tries.

Sandown 2/6, outlay 6, return A 16.18 B 16.11 C 12.9
M'ville 3/12, outlay 12, return A 11.51 B 10.97 C 12.8
E. Farm 0/6 outlay 6, return nil
Rosehill 2/10, outlay 10, return A 14.19 B 12.7 C 11.2

Overall on top 2, A 7.88, B 5.78, C 2.9 or a profit of 8.5% to 23.2%

Win chances (those marked ***) 7 winners from 42 tries.

Sandown 2/8, outlay 8, return A 22.71 B 23.89 C 19
M'ville 2/13, outlay 13, return A 7.71 B 7.32 C 6.8
E. Farm 1/7 outlay 3, return A 10.92 B 9.4 C 8.5
Rosehill 2/14, outlay 14, return A 38.42 B 36.24 C 31.9

Overall on win chances A 37.76 B 34.85 C 24.2 or a profit of 57.6% to 89.9%.

Fairly evident where the value lies. The thing is, if you want the top odds you have to be either at the track or at your PC. I guess the Tote is OK if you want to have a few drinks at the pub. Tab and make the battle even harder as the day wears on and your judgement becomes a little clouded!!

Gerry