14th June 2011, 07:06 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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Super 15 final week 18
As I mentioned last week, the only teams that are playing reliably are those needing points for the playoffs. Those in for sure and out for sure may not play up to these ratings, so a true value bet for Kelly betting is not reliable in week 18. Last week the Bulls needed points and won as heavy underdog. Last week the Waratahs and Highlanders neeed points and the Waratahs won by more than expected.
This week the Blues, Waratahs, Brumbies and Bulls need points and may play better than they have before. The rest are uncertain.
I will be on vacation so this is my last send. I'll see you all again next season. We have an 18% profit on turnover thus far.
Cheers,
Ray Stefani
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