EI may I suggest you go back over past postings. You will see a very high strike rate of lay bets losing, many at short odds. The last couple of weeks of lays winning have been an aberration.
However I have had a rather unpleasant run with getting horses up winning at decent odds with just one selection in a race. Personally I often successfully back two or three horses the win at very generous odds to beat the favourite if I think it is very poor value.
Admin. have instructed me to make the free selections Friday which does make things difficult when trying to find some decent horses at long odds for Saturday's racing - apart from track changes and scratchings, prices vary so much.
Admin. have also told me I am to provide one selection, not two or three horses at big odds in a race to beat the favourite.
Lucky Lil.