Thread: A Theory ...
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Old 4th July 2011, 06:27 AM
4legs 4legs is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2009
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I am going to have a good look at the data as I may have to set some realistic parameters and then start logging again as I am getting horses drifting and firming in the range -$330 - + $430. These may or may not be distorting the figures - I will have to check.

I think I can say however that very little movements occur in the first 2 favourites. See below. These figures are based on the BF min Bet of $5.00 and the data covers 3 days (1/2/3 July) with a factor of .50 to indicate drift or firm.

$0.50 Firm Drift
1st Favs: 21 8
1st Wins: 5 3
1st Profit: -$31.40 $ 20.90
Strike Rate: 24% 38%



2nd Favs: 38 23
2nd Wins: 2 3
2nd Profit: -$127.45 -$22.60
Strike Rate: 5% 13%
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