Thread: A Theory ...
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Old 4th July 2011, 06:03 PM
mattio mattio is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 4legs
I am going to have a good look at the data as I may have to set some realistic parameters and then start logging again as I am getting horses drifting and firming in the range -$330 - + $430. These may or may not be distorting the figures - I will have to check.

I think I can say however that very little movements occur in the first 2 favourites. See below. These figures are based on the BF min Bet of $5.00 and the data covers 3 days (1/2/3 July) with a factor of .50 to indicate drift or firm.

$0.50 FirmDrift
1st Favs:218
1st Wins:53
1st Profit:-$31.40 $ 20.90
Strike Rate:24%38%















2nd Favs:3823
2nd Wins:23
2nd Profit:-$127.45 -$22.60
Strike Rate:5%13%
Hi 4legs,

With your results can you tell me when you took the snapshots, was it 25 seconds and 2 seconds as you said in an earlier post? Also is the $0.50 factor a minimum so all the above results are based on these horses firming or drifting a minimum of $0.50 during the time the snapshots were taken?

Cheers,

Mat.
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