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Old 4th September 2011, 05:57 PM
woof43 woof43 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Box Total Natural Tote Odds
1 $14.14
2 $24.99
3 $8.92
4 $2.38
5 $30.93
6 $6.54
7 $10.71
8 $6.54
Moee, you need to convert the tote odds to 100% or Natural odds. The above set of figures is the Natural odds, based on what you posted. When you convert to Natural odds it makes you see how much $'s is actually on each runner. You then would need to know how much is in the Win Pool, as this will impact on how much you can invest, whilst still maintaining a + return, especially in greyhound racing.
Box Natural Tote % Mine%
1 FALSE FALSE
2 0.04 0.06
3 0.11 0.22
4 FALSE FALSE
5 FALSE FALSE
6 FALSE FALSE
7 FALSE FALSE
8 0.15 0.19
0.30 0.47
Convert each set of odds to a %. as above. Based on your figures I would get an alert if "Mine %'s" were less then 65% (reassess your handicapping)
Box Edge
1 FALSE
2 0.222222222
3 0.847826087
4 FALSE
5 FALSE
6 FALSE
7 FALSE
8 0.25
Then work out your edge, in reality you should be using 3 sets of figures here the 3rd set of figures is your Win efficiency figure based on past results, but for ease of calculating use "mine% X (tote payoff))-(1-Mine%)) will give the edge as above
Box Optimum %
1 FALSE
2 0.01
3 0.13
4 FALSE
5 FALSE
6 FALSE
7 FALSE
8 0.06
Now you need to calculate the opt% to invest which is "edge % /(tote payoff-1))Then just average the above figures to give .0657. So if your betting series Bank is $1,000 your going to invest .0657 of that amount $65.70. Now you'd just a portion this amount to your runners.
Box Bet size * Opt %
1 FALSE
2 9.00
3 25.00
4 FALSE
5 FALSE
6 FALSE
7 FALSE
8 33.00
With rounding up, you'd end up with the following investments.
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