12th September 2011, 07:47 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
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bhagwan, why would I have a crack at you. You've posted more stuff on this site than I've had hot dinners. The 35% S/R is to do with my selection of mules based on a fixed Win% of higher than 35% with the expectation the win S/R will, over time drop to 35%. I'm looking at ways, other than chase losses, to improve the returns. One good thing that I just didn't factor in, are the multiple selections in some races (somteimes 4+) which need to be pruned to one selection, or depending on the day and the race, may be left out altogether. At the weekend there was one race where there were 4 selections, so the best result would have been a 25% S/R which is much lower than the lowest 35% forecast. Multiple selections, even a couple in a race, make the "Initial Win S/R%" less likely to drop to 35%.
cheers bhagwan
Barny
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