Yeh I thought I was gonna get the draw, at 19-26. My model actually predicted a score of 25-25 as well, so that gives me a bit of confidence. Have to do some tests to see whether my scoreline was luck or a decent estimate.

I think the Blues are still okay. Lost at home and are 1-3 away. There'll be alot of pressure to hold all home games. You're right though, they're not a good chance. Blues will have to defend against NSW, highlanders, the bulls and the stormers. Not only that but they'll need to win one more away game against either the sharks or the cats (cats their best bet).

I think the result hurts the hurricanes more. They'll need to pull off at least 2 away wins against NSW, Highlanders, or the ACT (highlanders being their best bet). They'll have to defend at home against the crusaders (who are coming into some form) and the reds.

Both sides really had to win to remain a decent chance.

Think it's time to start a new thread...