Did you see the number of turnovers by the canes? They'd march up field quite a few times, only to turn the ball over. The blues would then counter attack every time. This led to 2 of the blues tries. It was a good game to watch though, not great rugby but exciting.

I've fine tuned my model, and it's gone 9-1 betting spreads for 10 previous games this season. 3 of those wouldn't really be a bet as a number of my scores matched the spread (e.g. if you suggest 29-26, you wouldn't bet -2.5 even though you'd win. you beat the spread but it's still a bad bet.)

Course I don't expect it to win most of the time, but I do hope and think it'll be profitable.

Scores it has pumped out for this weekend:

Chiefs vs NSW:
28-31. Spread is right for me.

Crusaders vs Highlanders:
31-24. I'm taking +12 on the highlanders.

Brumbies vs Reds:
35-22. With -8 available on the brumbies, another bet for me.

Chiefs-NSW game is on TV in 1 hour.

Still have to do the stormers-bulls (haven't done the bulls yet). I expect it'll probally be a fairly close one. I like the +4.5 for the stormers, I'll see if my spreadsheet agrees with me.