View Single Post
  #3  
Old 2nd October 2011, 03:44 PM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

Dale
Hi
Everything comes back to price. This is the TAB price. The fav has a strike rate of >81% at $1.20 and > than 23% when over $5. This is the greatest variable. The next greatest variable is runners. There is an increase in the fav's strike rate as you go less than 8 runners. There is only a fractional decrease in the strike rate as more runner are added. As the track deteriates there is a fractional decrease in the fav's strike rate. There also is a steady increase in the fav's strike rate as the class increases. But this is only over 3-5%. Distance has only a fractional increase as the distance increases. All in the average fav strike rate is within 2-4% of mooted averages except for price. There is very little difference whether you have 9 runners or 14 runners. There is less than 1% difference in the fav's strike rate but a vast difference in number of possible races to bet on. Beton
Reply With Quote