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Old 14th October 2011, 07:51 AM
ixlat0 ixlat0 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2009
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UNITab Top 100

random sample (oct 2010 - sept 2011) each month represented (min 10 races/mth) -- did not include race if 100 scratched (ie didn't take the next best) or more than 1 in race -- used UNITab prices

N = 151
SR 22.5% (expect long term ~SR23.5%)
AR $3.6 (expect long term ~AR$3.82)
POT -19% (expect long term POT~ -10.2%)

variance -- for every 150 races -- 95% of the time i would expect a SR between 17% - 30%

with an AR of ~$3.8 you would need SR26.5% to break even

have the best day!
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