14th October 2011, 10:20 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ixlat0
UNITab Top 100
random sample (oct 2010 - sept 2011) each month represented (min 10 races/mth) -- did not include race if 100 scratched (ie didn't take the next best) or more than 1 in race -- used UNITab prices
N = 151
SR 22.5% (expect long term ~SR23.5%)
AR $3.6 (expect long term ~AR$3.82)
POT -19% (expect long term POT~ -10.2%)
variance -- for every 150 races -- 95% of the time i would expect a SR between 17% - 30%
with an AR of ~$3.8 you would need SR26.5% to break even
have the best day!
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At $3.60 the SR for the top fav is 26.17% on a 43000 sample. Beton
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