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Old 14th October 2011, 02:35 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
Thanks very much ixlat0 and beton.

I've noticed over the last 4 days that the 100 rater has gone terribly and was wondering if that is normal or not. Obviously, with those stats, it isn't normal then. DAM!!! I thought I had found something.

Over the last 4 days and taking Unitab prices without anything higher than $15 there would have been 89 bets losing -$31.8. Now while the Betfair prices will most probably be higher, if those selections were laid then I think there still would've been quite a large positive POT (35.7% POT if prices were reversed - which I know wouldn't quite work out with Betfair lay prices).

My long term average for neural and 100ptr rater method is 29%
Since 16 September it has been 24.5%

Why...damn wish I knew....(swings and round abouts??)...its been very consistent over the past 15mths I've kept records
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