
29th March 2004, 12:47 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 21
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The secret to good punting is knowing the value of selection. I probably have a worse strike rate than most people who write on this site but I am able to get fantastic value.
It is not about how many winners you get but how much money you walk away with at the end of the day / week / year.
A lot of favourites are undervalued. If you continually accept odds below there face value then it is mathematically certain you will lose.
My value bet on Sunday was GREIGACIOUS who saluted at 25-1. Everyone seemed to jump off it after a bad race. It beat KABLAMMO in the start prior to that in Canberra. I rated it at 13-2. I had 2 other losses for the day but that more than made up for it.
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