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12th November 2011, 07:21 PM
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,494
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Laying using the Predictor (A T R)
I tried something last night in the UK markets which focuses on using the A T R Predictor. (Available "at the races" website ).
The Rules are simple:
1. Only consider races with 70%+ race confidence.
2. Find the thirds rated Horse and divide its rating by 1.4 ( meaning we are finding horses rated 40% less then the third top rated horse.
3. Lay all horses that are below this figure.
For example if the 3rd rated horse was rated 423 then we would lay any horses in the same race which are 302.14 or less.
The test last night layed 26 horses ranging from $10 through to $300 using a fixed liability (ie To lose a theoretical $100). It made $85. Only 2 horses placed. No money was gained/lost in this test and it will continue the same until this proves itself with 3000 or more testing lays.
For those interested I will be laying the following horses tonight:
Track / UK Time / Horse
Cheltenham 14:35:00 Swincombe Rock
Naas (IRE) 15:05:00 First Impressions
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 In Great Form
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Minor Power
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The Burrow Vision
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Kilberg Opera
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Equation
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The real Tyson
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Sitting back
Wolvehampton 18:20:00 Skylla
Wolvehampton 20:20:00 Carnival Dream
Lingfield 12:00:00 Trust me Boy
Lingfield 14:50:00 Global City
Lingfield 15:55:00 Under fire
Lingfield 15:55:00 Beckfield Dancer
Uttoxeter 15:15:00 Thetasteofparadise
Wetherby 13:45:00 Panthers Run
Wetherby 15:25:00 Shadows Lengthen
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