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Old 1st April 2004, 07:19 PM
michaelv michaelv is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 43
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Well these 2 didn't do very well today for the 5pt plan but I'm pretty certain I know why......they were both around the $10 mark in the on course betting (ie the bookie's market) making them about 5th or 6th in the betting.

When I look back at the results, it would appear that if the selections are either Fav or 2nd fav they run really well (and win lots of the time) but if they drift out then they perform badly overall. Now I realise it's difficult for some punters to be able to check the market before they bet but I think the figures would improve dramatically if bets are limited to those 5 pointers being either fav or 2nd fav with a max price limit of $5.50 (regardless of market position). This would eliminate really open races where there are lots of chances (and a fav or even 2nd fav at say $6.00) and it would also eliminate races where there's an odds on pop running against the selection as generally the 2nd fav is around $5 or $6.

I will be tracking these from now on using this filter and see how it goes. And today there would have been no bets. All of the previous 5 bets fell in this range except for mindreader which was $6.00 at the jump and therefore could have been eliminated.

Any thoughts?
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