Quote:
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Originally Posted by Dale
Thanks Useless bettor.
Only stands to reason those results can be improved. Was wondering what the expected return on the highest Final Ratings would be if one just bet on the TAB.
I expect perhaps a 10% loss?
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I can only give you the betfair return after 5% commission. It is :
There were
34655 horse form lines in the database at this point in time.
There were
3261 selections for the System
There were
777 Winners for the System for a strike rate of
23.83%
There were
$3178.27 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of
$-82.73 or a percentage profit/loss of
-2.54%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : donScottRank = 1
They can be improved fairly easy. Try those with the highest win strike rate:
There were
1379 selections for the System
There were
426 Winners for the System for a strike rate of
30.89%
There were
$1425.9 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of
$46.9 or a percentage profit/loss of
3.4%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : donScottRank = 1 and winSrRank = 1
Or just bet on the value bets usign a wide barrier filter:
There were
1341 selections for the System
There were
319 Winners for the System for a strike rate of
23.79%
There were
$1427.52 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of
$86.52 or a percentage profit/loss of
6.45%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : barrier >= 7 and donScottRank = 1