11th December 2011, 11:58 PM
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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I guess that's what I'm getting at.
Michelle Payne is one smart jockey, she knew by previous races, if she took the lead, they'd let her run out in front thinking her horse would fold.
Horses have made up ground at the Valley, but they have to take off early and defy the corner, and only the class horses can do it, like makybe and fields of omagh, or kingston town.
If you look at the Our Waverley Star, Bonecrusher race, you can see what happened to the rest of the field.
But they were exceptional horses of course and before Strath Ayr.
I'm still trying to find out why the jockeys on the favoured runners think they can make up ground at the valley with ordinary horses.
So for the sake of argument, I think you can make pretty good money backing anything that leads at the valley by a few lengths and lay any favoured runner back in the field unless it's something special.
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