12th December 2011, 12:12 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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I've got 2,892 last start winners at the Valley.
876 of them were leading at the 400m mark, or 30% of them.
1345 were running first or second at the 400m mark, or 46.51%
So this is leading before the home turn, as the straight is 173m long.
1,750 were in the top 3 on pacers at the 400m mark, which equates to 60.51%
What's missing from this is the situation where it's a distance race and the leader pinches a break of 2 or 3 lengths or more.
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