17th December 2011, 08:04 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 259
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If you think it through – what you are doing when you adopt a policy of stopping when you have won a certain amount is saying….
” Today so far I have exceeded my long term average so I will stop now and miss the inevitable flow of losers – which is just around the corner – tomorrow is a new sequence and therefore we will start again- all fresh”
As I said before all it does is delay the inevitable.
Pretty similar to walking into a casino and having 3 straight bets on the RED and then leaving.
Well it may win for 3 months in the casino – but I can assure you over time you will just get the long term average – i.e. house make the profit and you lose 3-4% per spin.
In punting you can’t win over the long term unless you have an edge that makes you better than the others – (that is - the other punters who are betting against your selection). Short term wins are just luck.
Artificial rules like stopping here and starting there are just props which may work for a while but in most cases the overall selections will just find their long term average.
That my friends is a FACT that you can take to the bank.
cheers
Aussie
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