19th December 2011, 12:48 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1,096
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
I always have a problem when folk start comparing horse racing to flipping a coin.
e.g. coins dont have variable odds or field sizes.
|
Bahgwan, Funny you should say that just at this time.
I was looking for something unrelated in my files and came across this research I've done some time ago.
Fav in races with 6 or less runners win 42.1% LOT 12.7%
> 6 and <=9 35.2% LOT 12.7%
> 9 and <=12 30.9% LOT 12.4 probably due higher divs
>12 and <= 16 27% LOT 19.5%
Field sizes and odds DO matter and I find my own rating performs best in the 10 to 14 field size.
The prices were the official starting prices that come with the form download, so I assume the bookies' stating prices. |