G'day all. What a great thread and great information, analysis and advice. Although I'm no more than a fun punter, your info got me looking at the archived results on Supertab. Just a quick look at Melbourne metro meetings on Saturdays since the start of this calendar year. My mini survey looks at the horse at the SHORTEST tote quote 15 minutes prior to each race start

In total there were 182 horses which were tote fave with 15 minutes to go.
Of these 49 won (27 percent)
for a loss on turnover of 17 percent

51 firmed to a shorter quote, even marginally, at race start
Of these 16 won (31 percent)
for a loss on turnover of 8 percent

16 remained at exactly the same quote at race start
Of these 5 won (31 percent)
for a loss on turnover of 4 percent

115 drifted to a longer quote, even marginally, at race start
Of these 28 won (24 percent)
for a loss on turnover of 22 percent

I know the sample size is probably too small for any really useful conclusions, but any comment about the bigger loss by the drifters?? What does it all mean??

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Bet for Fun
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