
6th April 2004, 02:00 AM
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Gday all.
The idea of betting to win $50 with a $3000 bank is hypothetical reasonable values that I chose. Its no use trying to worry about not having enough money on the big one Shaun. The idea is slow and steady, building it up $50 at a time. Can I put this one to you. I agree that it is possible for a freakish run of outs to happen, but highly unlikely with these numbers. You could always set a minimum odds for abet if it was too short. This is probably a really good idea. The risk might far outweigh the chances of say Lonhro or Special Harmony getting up if they were say number one in question.Wouldnt it be feasible to suggest that with 1,2,3 running in the system winning at a mininmum combined 40% of the time, wouldnt the bank be sufficient to handle this long run of outs.What do you think the chances are of any of these three numbers not winning for say even five or six race meetings.What also would be the chances of say 4,5 or even 6 odds on favourites,all say number one,all getting beaten and all this occurring at a time when the number one was experiencing a long run of outs? This is pretty slim stuff. Many of the contributing losers to a sequence lose because of their lower ability reflected in their higher odds. What are you thoughts guys. This system, with the results I have gathered so far would work equally well, if not better in Sydney. I suppose the system could be applied to just Saturday or Wedneday metro meetings, because Id reckon the handicappers grade the horses more accurately, and hence horses of greater experience and ability can and do quite often wear the number one two or three.Oh well I've left you much to comment on dudes so I think I'm off to bed.
Goodnight megamoos
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