Megamoos,

I gave this system a crack 'realtime' with cash today and it worked as follows -

23 races (Geelong, Port Macquarie, Mackay)

#1 G4 M4 PM8
#2 G2 G8
#3 G1 M1 G4 PM6

The questions it raised were as follows (you haven't made it transparently clear how you would bet these beyond the paper trade) -

1. Do we only bet on races with at least 8 starters? What if there is 7 because 1,2 or 3 were scratched?

2. What if 1,2 or 3 are scratched? Do we just pass over it and try to win (using your example) $50 on the following race?

3. At the end of the day you have an open debt on at least 2 of the saddleclothes..... Do you start from scratch the following day or continue from where you left-off? (assuming the bank hasn't been hammered during the day).

4. Do we bet in sequence going from race-to-race at each of the venues on a given day (race 1 Geelong followed by Macquarie Race 1 for example), or do we just concentrate on the one track?

The other point I wanted to make is that with the time being so tight between some of the races due to those unpredictable problems that can occur on-track (resulting in race times being re-jigged), working out what to bet on 1,2 and 3 and placing the bet gets pretty stressful.

Should we pick 2 race venues such that there is enough time to do the maths and get the bets on (and to cover any potential problems on track)?

Saddlecloth #2 went 18 races before it delivered its second win today (it won in the last race in Geelong.... I thought I had balls for sticking it out). One thing that blew its value out (the size of the bets got a bit scary) was 1 or 2 races where it was favourite or second favourite but didn't win.... I haven't analysed what this might mean to the system but we need to sort it out..... What happens if you hit a race where the amount you need to cover losses and win $50 (for example) reaches a significant amount (30-40% of you bank for example) but because it is the favourite, the win odds on it are only around 2.4-3.0? I had such an experience today and it was only luck that covered me today....

What are your thoughts on this?

- Costanza

[ This Message was edited by: costanza on 2004-04-06 23:58 ]