10th January 2012, 10:56 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by rails run
To try to give an example of keeping things simple, does anyone share the belief the 6 box is automatically disadvantaged in a dog race for whatever reasons? There's a pure gut observation shared by most and it's surprisingly not hammered out yet by punters.
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No it's not automatically disadvantaged.
Depends on the track and distance, but most importantly the racing style of the other runners versus the runner in question.
But the stats may show different because they incorporate those not disadvantaged and those disadvantaged.
It's important to take note of how many races were not disadvantaged and the strike rate, versus those disadvantage and the strike rate.
It's the same with most scenarios, only punters are not good at splitting data in general, only the pros. |