One rule I did forget folks, and it's an important one too.

Assuming a horse has qualified with regards to Win% S/R (first port of call) we don't back it first up if it's obvious to all and sundry that it's now classified as a distance horse and will probably be set for a couple of reasonable distance events. Plenty of winners are found when following a horse (provided the Win qualifies) from say 1400m to 1600m to 2500m for example in it's current campaign, BUT, the in the next campaign it is prudent to avoid it because the trainer may have set it for a slow build up to a decent distance race.

An example of an eliminator tomorrow might Moudre, depending on the Win% you've set ......

Sounds complex, but it's not.