Hi Midas,

I was thinking of using a refined, 'retirement' type of staking plan over 4 runs instead of 3.

Plan of attack being:

1/ Horse starts at $1.60 or below and has 25% win strike or better. (your original idea)

2/ Next start (first bet) = 1 unit

3/ If it loses, set a divisor to whatever the horses price is pre post or fixed odds.
So if it's paying $4 (3/1) pre post, divisor = 3
Equation 3 + 1 = 4 / 3 (divisor) this bet = 1.33

4/ Horse loses again, this run it's paying $5 pre post (4/1), divisor = 4
Equation 4 + 1 + 1.33 = 6.33 / 4 (divisor) next bet = 1.5825

Continue loss recovery for 4 bets.

The thinking being to back them relative to their market chance of winning, should be more accurate than a rigid 1,2,3 or 1,2,3,4 staking plan.

What do you think? Let me know.

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty