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12th February 2012, 09:55 PM
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Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
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Quote:
Originally Posted by midas
Reply to The Schmile Hi
I have records of a win selection system based on last start odds on plus a few filters with a good strike rate for 23 months.
Recently I had a brain wave and checked the results of the winning horses under this system for the next 5 runs 1,2,3,4,5 units. I found it was more profitable to follow for only 3 runs not the five, also three runs 1,2,3 units until win - 45% POT. However 3 runs at 2,3,4 units increased POT to 77%.
I am no mathamatician but maybe the set bets could give you more return on the larger priced winners which is the cream of most methods.
Of course those results apply only to my particular method and in any case may not continue into the future but again it is something to consider.
Good luck with your experiments
Midas
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Nice insight Midas,
It's always best to stick with what you're comfortable with and if you can achieve figures such as this, maybe the 1,2,3 or 2,3,4 is the way to go for you.
Regardless, it seems like a really sound idea in principle.
Thanks again for sharing!
The Schmile
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The Schmile
"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
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