Thread: Systems Fear
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Old 3rd March 2012, 07:08 PM
woof43 woof43 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Default Aqueduct Racing

THE UPS AND DOWN OF US RACING CHECK AQUEDUCT FOR FEB or ABOUT 20 RACING DAYS
IT'S AN ANALYSIS OF HOW THE FAVORITES HAVE PERFORMED IN FEBRUARY 2012.

* HERE ARE SOME IMPORTANT DETAILS:

1. OUT OF 147 RACES THE FAVORITE HAS BEEN AT EVEN MONEY OR LESS 48 TIMES.

2. THESE ODDS-ON FAVORITES HAVE WON 70.8 % OF THEIR RACES.

3. ALL FAVORITES HAVE WON 44.9 % OF THEIR
RACES.

4. NOTE THAT FAVORITES GOING OFF AT ODDS GREATER THAN EVEN MONEY BUT = TO OR LESS THAN 2.20 WON EXACTLY 33.3 % OF THEIR RACES.



HERE IS SOME INTERESTING INFO CONCERNING ODDS-ON FAVORITES AT AQUEDUCT FOR FEBRUARY.

* WITH 70.8 % WINNERS YOU WOULD NEED A BREAK-EVEN PAYOFF FOR $1 OF $1.41 (1/ 70.8 % = $1.41).

* THE ACTUAL AVERAGE P.O. FOR $1 HAS BEEN $1.58.

* THAT REPRESENTS A RETURN OF $1.12 FOR EVERY $1 INVESTED:

1. $1.58 (AVERAGE P.O. FOR $1) X 34 WINS = $53.65.

2. $1.12 (RETURN PER $1 INVESTED) X $48 INVESTED = $53.65.

3. $1.41 (BREAK-EVEN P.O. FOR $1) X 34 WINS = $48 INVESTMENT.
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