6th June 2002, 03:06 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 740
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Good question Red Machine.
It had nothing to do with the 10+lengths.
Optimizer was firstup and last time it was first up it beat a fair horse in Shepherd's Lil. Also Beadman took the ride on it so it could have been a good value bet.
I usually look for two or three factors such as these, and value being the most important.
Real Sassy ran a great race second up last time after a spell. Also by Naturalism so the going/distance should suit at good odds.
For those following it may pay to back place as well coz it does experience a fairly long run of outs.
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