27th March 2012, 05:58 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 172
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Hi Bhagwan,
Assuming that 1st and 2nd favorites come in approx 50% of the time in any one race over the longer term, how to calculate the effective SR if I target the first 2 favorites and find a system that consistently eliminates the 'false' favorite of the 2 (Say 67-75% of the time)?
Would I be left with a SR that lies somewhere between 40-50%?
LG
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In the same area - I just read somewhere "odds on favs win approx 55% of all races, whereas favourites priced at $2.70 or more(7/4) have a very poor historical win strike rate of only approx 18%.
Anyone got any stats to support or discredit this statement ?
cheers........ Mancunian |