20th April 2004, 08:55 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 138
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Actually Woof most studies show favourites win about 1 out of every 3 races = 33%.
I agree that using past finishing positions to establish a form pattern is dangerous. There is a world of difference between 5th place, beaten 1 length and 5th place, beaten 12 lengths. That's why I reckon finishing margins are much more useful as an indicator.
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