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Old 7th April 2012, 10:27 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
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What I'm doing is knocking up some Markets that may have innaccuracies amongst some of the contenders.
These innacuracies manifest themselves as certain runners appearing at way over the Odds.
But thats fine.
These are usually animals that will be well bet and will be either at the correct Odds or Underlays and of no interest.

What I'm trying to locate are animals that are amongst the group of runners with some sort of winning Chance , but are available at exaggerated Prices.

I have zero ability at predicting what Prices animals will be available at so I won't be suggesting which animals to bet on.
But its not difficult to find the animal if it is there.
It stands out like dogs balls.
It is usually the only Overlay in the race.
Often scenarios roll up where there are more than 2 Overlays in a Race.
These are not Overlays.
They are caused by a Massive Wager on a certain runner.
And usually these massive wagers are very educated.

Here's Race 1 at The MEADOWS

4 KILTANON SKYE $4.1
3 ELLEN BALE $4.2
5 YOWYEH $6.7
1 ATELIER $7.7
2 LASTING EFFECT $10
7 SCUSAMI HOTEL $12
8 SISCO TURBO $25
9 INDIGO FLASH Res. $33

If you look at the way the Odds are grouped I have 2 excellent winning Chances and 2 Good Chances , then 2 more capable of causing an upset.
So in this Race , a substantial Overlay is needed to overcome the Openness of the Race.
But be intensely aware of when there is more than one overlay.
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