This is interesting UB, especially on the systems thread. I'm systems crazy but I still give the selections the once over from the gray matter perspective.

A classic case in point is michaelg's "Laying the outsider" system. The other day it struck a looser (winner) and yet although it may have fitted within michaelg's parameters it was also the top rated horse on some sites and started favorite I believe on Betfew. So actually this was not following the usual pattern of his great system so to my mind it's better to back away in such cases. After all this is hardly true to the "outsider" tag of the system.

Systems are a great tool but they can never have the complexity needed to weed out the occasional under the radar runner. It has to be a judgment call.

__________________
"Not winning on a horse that came first is one thing.....Losing on a horse that didn't come first is something else entirely!!!"