lomaca, I think the neurals are based on statistics, however I've seen horses having their first start get more CF, CP, TIM and DIS points than other horses that have raced.

It is really puzzling...

However it seems that their top selections overall are not too bad. One of my lay selections today won paying $30 on the TAB. If I can remember correctly some time ago I layed the top selection in every race on a particular day, it was a disasterous day.