
25th April 2012, 08:42 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,561
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
And when you take all those various 70 races into consideration, I'm betting (in the long term) it will come out at around 30%. You haven't seen the thread about the wisdom of crowds then, UB?
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Long term yes 30% is probably right .... But 70 races is not long term. It could be in a very large range of 10% - 50% strike rate over only 70 bets.
Using the right methods at the right times for testing can save a lot of heartache and give a much better understanding of when a short term swing above or below the long term strike rate is really what you are seeing.
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