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Old 27th April 2012, 12:33 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Thanks for the input chaps.

Bhagwan, very helpful - I shall add these to my filters. I find that where there are 3 or more FU runners in a race, it begins to resemble a lottery (2 is manageable). Less surprises is better, as you say.

Shaun, I got pencil and paper out this morning and did 'a few numbers' on the API stat to try to understand what it is and then begin to examine it's value.

Looks like it is as simple as the following:

1. API for a given runner = total prizemoney over last 12m divided by 1000
eg 12,642 becomes 12.64 So not strictly an average as such

2. API for the race = total API factors for all runners divided by no. of runners = same method as you? ie an average of API factors across over all runners

The filters I have so far for quality of race, are as follows:

1. 1+ career starts for all runners
2. No more than 2 resumers
3. 1+ last start winner
4. Top Rated neural selection must be >= 130 (default setting)
5. Ignore F+M,M,C+G,Fillies etc - perhaps this is more about consistency!
6. Welcome to suggest others?

Haven't got a handle on API as yet but perhaps we can use it to compare two races where both have successfully made it thru 1-5 above BUT we only have 1 bet left in the kitty.. Pick the highest API rated race?


LG
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