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Old 27th April 2012, 01:02 PM
Mancunian Mancunian is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 172
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Do you know how they work this out?

I use a similar method where i add up all the runners individual API then divide it by the total runners to get the average API of the race.

I find this useful for the lower quality races under Open events.


Yes - R and S do this for you ie the API in the Race Header is the average of the API of the runners in that race.

Funnily enough I've just been checking a few things in this area - and discovered that in the lower class races quite a few winners are coming from horses that have a greater API than the race average API, but most of the races contain 4 or 5 qualifiers, but a couple of good priced winners had cropped up.

I've already looked at todays races using the following rules
1. Races must have 7 or more starters
2. Eliminate races that have any first starters.
3. Eliminate races that have average API 2.00 or greater

Here is a list of the top 4 contenders with API above the race average :
Geel - r7 / 9.10.2.5.
Geel - r8/ 9.2.1.10.
Ipsw - r3/ 6.1.2.7.
Ipsw - r4/ 8.6.2.1.
Ipsw - r5/ 2.1.9.8.
Ipsw - r6/ 1.2.5.12.
Ipsw - r7/ 6.7.4.11
Canb - r4/ 8.1.9.
Canb - r6/ 6.4.
Canb - r7/ 3.7.1.5.
Canb - r8/ 2.3.8.
PtMq - r3/ 1.5.2
PtMq - r4/ 4.5.2.3.
PtMq - r6/ 1.3.5.4.
PtMq - r7/ 4.8.6.3.
PtMq - r8/ 1.3.6.2.
To me Friday is usually a bad day for picking winners (except for MValley).
but this is potential for "fun betting", with plenty of action on weaker class racing. Anyhow see how it goes today......
cheers...........Mancunian
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