Hi foxwood,
If I can give you a little advice on this it would be to look at other factors other than just the best jockeys at the lower class meetings. The trainer they are riding for can also be a good thing to look at also as far as profitability goes. As an example I ran a quick test on Damien Oliver riding at non metro tracks from 8/09 - 3/12, here are the results:
Rides - 290
Wins - 57
S/R - 19.7%
LOT - 23.2%
Overall there is a loss but when you look at how his rides were for certain trainers, the results varied dramatically. Here are a few examples:
Leon Corstens - 11 rides, 6 wins, 55% S/R, 53% POT
Lee Freedman - 5 rides, 1 win, 20% S/R, 64% LOT
David Hayes - 10 rides, 3 wins, 30% S/R, 96% POT
Mark Kavanagh - 37 rides, 7 wins, 19% S/R, 36% LOT
Colin Little - 13 rides, 6 wins, 46% S/R, 123% POT
Mike Moroney - 13 rides, 1 win, 8% S/R, 78% LOT
Mark Riley - 8 rides, 3 wins, 38% S/R, 173% POT
These are just a few examples but you can see how results can vary for a jockey from trainer to trainer for any number of reasons.
Good luck with your idea.
Cheers,
Matt.
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