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20th May 2012, 04:45 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 245
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Hi, If I could find a site that gave me all the information I mentioned when I originally put this thread up, I am sure I could come up with some sort of a rating method. However I cant,...!
If you have a telstra T Box, all the racing for Sydney and Melbourne is archived in it and you can watch replays at any time. I do this all the time in conjuction with using the sectional times and have various formulas to tell me the tempo of a race and how many lengths each horse in the race gained or lost on the winner over the final 600/400/200.
I also backed Eraset yesterday, previous start it was 7th at the 600 and gained 2.5L on the winner in the final 600 to be beaten by 1.3L. The tempo of that race was pretty fair with the first part being run 4% slower than the final 600. Not really a slow tempo but getting towards the slow side. Hence its run wasnt that bad. These are the sort of things I look for. At the end of the day it really comes down to,."do I consider that run good enough to win win/again next start". If yes I b/b it, and back it next start if its within a 28 day period. (used to be 21 but missed out on a couple of good priced winners).
I've been doing this for some years now, had a break, went off on a different tangent, or maybe just spent to much time on the bowling green, whatever, but I got all keen and sectionalised again in February. Since then have had 151 bets all up for 49 wins for a s/r of 32.5 and POT of 36%. Some of those bets were in the same race/s, like yours yesterday, that figure then becomes 49 wins in 115 races, s/r of 42.6 for the same POT.
If this keeps up I am more than happy. It's the only way I could ever make a buck out of racing,
Paul
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